Saturday, January 20, 2007

American Research Poll

The Republican polling firm American Research Group released an 8 state presidential poll on Friday that surveyed 600 likely primary voters of each party in each state. Romney placed third, far behind Rudy Giuliani and John McCain and just ahead of Newt Gingrich and Tommy Thompson.

  WH '08 GOP Primary Election Matchup
MI MO FL PA IL NM CA NC
R. Giuliani 34% 18% 30% 35% 33% 38% 33% 34%
J. McCain 24 31 15 25 24 20 18 26
M. Romney 10 2 2 1 12 7 3 2
N. Gingrich 9 14 16 10 8 9 19 11
T. Thompson 7 2 -- -- 4 -- -- --
M. Huckabee 2 1 1 1 -- -- -- 4
S. Brownback -- 5 1 2 4 4 -- --
J. Gilmore -- -- -- 1 -- -- -- 1
C. Hagel -- 3 2 4 3 6 5 2
D. Hunter -- -- -- -- 1 -- 1 --
G. Pataki -- -- 1 -- -- 1 -- --
Other/undec 14 24 32 21 11 15 22 19
CBS4 in Boston sees a silver lining in these low early numbers:
[T]he election is a long way off and the Romney camp just might be in the perfect position....

"You don't want to be a front runner at this point front runners attract flies, heat and all sorts of unwanted side effects," [says CBS4 political analyst Jon Keller].

Keller says Romney has taken hits about flip flopping on some issues and his Mormon religion and it actually benefits him not to be getting as much attention right now.

So, although his numbers are low, his campaign shouldn't worry.

"No need to panic no need to go over Niagara Falls in a barrel to get some cheap pub," Keller said.

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